Unemployment Rate: A Visual Guide to the Financial Crisis

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The overall unemployment rate currently stands at 7.2 percent, a 15-year high according to Bureau of Labor Statistics. Each day since the current recession began, in December 2007, the news has been full of reports of job layoffs. Just today the government released a report indicating that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits is at its highest level in a quarter of a century, as more workers seek government assistance. Could the news get any worse? It’s all in how you calculate the numbers.
Here is a visual guide to the truth behind the numbers
For more personal finance visualizations see: WallStats.com
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1 2 Next »How was unemployment measured during the great depression?
This is one of the dumber things i’ve seen. The unemployment is measured in that way for a reason. If you are no looking for a job, or are a college student, highschool student, etc. you very obviously should not be counted as “unemployed”. Best part about statistics, you can lie without lying.
@Alex, I think you missed one of the points of the piece. The point I took away was that our comparison of today’s crisis may be downplayed against the Great Depression, since we’re measuring both crises in different ways
Hi there’s another thing!
Government of the United States in 1930 ~3% of all employed, 2009 ~50%. That results in 32.5% of the work force has a “real job”.
A question though… How does one distinguish student from someone who CAN’T find work. And even then it still is the choice of the student to find work or not to. Personally, I think the Unemployment rate was never meant to be 0. unless of course you find a way to ban high school/college students from getting jobs.
Alex, if you are looking for work you will get the full scope of what’s happening. You can’t even look in certain markets because they aren’t hiring and may be closing up soon. Have you seen any closed up car dealerships, Circuit city’s or mom and pop stores? Each one affects the others. Do you see more people buying houses or people trying to get rich off foreclosures? Open your eyes and look around you. Maybe you should ask your parents how they feel about it since you totally missed the point.
I am sorry Atish, but I see Alex’s argument more than I see yours. Nice post from the author, but the posting makes the outlook seem more grimmer than it truely is.
I am not sure how students factor into this. They are not considered unemployed or in the labor market. The only way a student could be counted as unemployed is if they are looking for a job and cannot find one and are continuing to look for one.
High School and college kids who are not even looking for a job are not even remotely unemployed, according to the government or anyone else.
The article highlights the ‘grimmest’ statistic, the government highlights the statistic they think is most ‘acceptable’ to the public, not the most accurate.
The bottom line is that there is more to the ‘official rate’ then meets the eye, and the public should be made aware of it. Especially if the media and government invite comparisons to historical unemployment but make no adjustment to the formula. It’s like citing past prices, without adjusting for inflation.
I don’t see Alex’s argument at all. The point is comparing apples to apples, thats all. For sure the societal consequences of our high unemployment are not as great simply because of some of the safety nets put in place by the new deal but the employment situation is as dire, and getting worse.
How much unemployment can our society handle before there is serious breakdown?? I have a feeling we are going to find out before the end of ‘09. We will have lots of empty buildings and idle hands.
I’ve read some interesting pieces on true unemployment rates lately. My husband and brother in law don’t “count” as employed for government statistics, but their construction company is going under and they are looking for jobs.
Gave the post a Digg and a Twitter. Good visual.
Fantastic presentation! The Govt propaganda has been relentless in playing down the severity of the current economic situation as compared to the GD. Still posts like this makes one wonder.
Still, I must ask, “what advantage would knowing this give me?”
Alex,
You’re a complete idiot. Where does this article discuss students? This is making the point that government numbers are suppressing the real information – that the unemployment rate is nearing Great Depression numbers if you were to use the same calculation method. Alex, you’re so beyond stupid, I think I’m dumber after having read your comment. John Doe, that goes for you too.
John Doe…you mean truly. You’re a turd burglar.
Unemployment numbers actually were measured differently during the great depression than they are now. The changes that are outlined briefly above began in 1961 with the Kennedy administration when it was decided to label workers who had stopped looking for work as “discouraged workers” and to not count them as part of the unemployment rate.
Since then every presidential administration (except the Carter administration) has made its own little tweeks to the way that unemployment statistics are given, mainly to make themselves look better, naturally. Characterizing these changes as some sort of secret cabal is a little misleading, but it is certainly a problem worth examining.
Read this for more info: http://harpers.org/archive/2008/05/0082023
It’s all somewhat of an interesting study in stats, but at the end of the day, all I really care about is GDP. That measures our output…whether it’s by 1 smart person or 3 morons doing the same job. Per capita measures just keeps the peeps in Wash DC busy…spending our cash…
“”"A question though… How does one distinguish student from someone who CAN’T find work. And even then it still is the choice of the student to find work or not to. Personally, I think the Unemployment rate was never meant to be 0. unless of course you find a way to ban high school/college students from getting jobs.”"”
This person shouldn’t be posting about unemployment.
I also read another post that said if you take money from the rich(however you like) that they will stop hiring, or somehow…
Where will they go? and shareholders are shareholders in public companies. it really doesn’t matter if they’re large or small shareholders. Too bad the government education you received is so anti-socialism. you could have lots of money if you took it back from the rich thieves who robbed you
have a nice day
not all rich people are thieves, you know. Some people worked hard and some worked smart. I’m not rich but I’ll be damned if I would ever let the government take away my money to give to others. I would do that myself and not let them tell me where it goes. Who says they would even give it to the people who need it and not to the automotive industry again. Think people think!
Hi Frd…
I think you missed one of the points of the piece.The point is comparing apples to apples, that’s all. For sure the societal consequences of our high unemployment are not as great simply because of some of the safety nets put in place by the new deal but the employment situation is as dire, and getting worse.How was unemployment measured during the great depression?
interesting take… had to repost: http://www.the405club.com/post/75792145/the-not-so-official-unemployment-guide-visual
just came upon your site, love the info. perhaps you’ll enjoy our new club for those receiving New York’s $405 Unemployment Benefit per week, New York’s fastest growing club: http://www.the405club.com.
Hope to see you soon & link up.
I agree with Ravi. This is an issue of a deception created by comparing Apples and Oranges. It’s a lot worse out here than the previous administrations have been willing to admit. So they continue to compare the old employment numbers with the new ones (Which are based on an entirely different metrics) and then pat themselves on the back telling the unemployed, “It’s all in your mind!” The only good news in this report is that 25% of the nay sayers who commented above will completely understand the real issue when they lose their jobs this year. This is going to get worse before it gets better. Partly because so many currently employed people are saying there is no problem at all.
Trying to compare our current economic downturn (one that occurs every 10 to 15 years like clockwork) as if it were similar to the great depression does a great disservice to those who lived through those tough times. The most downtrodden person you know experiencing tough times today should thank God every night they’re not going through what our grandfathers and grandmothers went through. Stop trying to blow up the numbers. Leave the sensationalism for the MSM.
If only the government would look back at the mistakes it made to create the great depression in the first place. FDR started by attempting to control wages. Guess what Chairman 0bama did this week? That’s right. Oh well… doomed to repeat it I guess.
Billius: Kind of like when Mazda decided not to include RX-8 owners in its dealer customer satisfaction survey. Don’t like the data? Ignore it!
Unemployment is always in the mind first. Change your thinking and jobs will come to you.
Sounds like ‘hocus-pocus’ but it’s true.
Minh
I am more interested in the comparison to the mid-70’s and early 80’s and if we are measuring unemployment the same way to those periods. I remember the early 80’s and it was tough. It doesn’t feel like we in a period as bad as the early 80’s yet – anybody remember 18% interest rates on home loans?
Interesting point of view. Well here is my plan for fixing the economy.
I want an economist or someone who could study my idea to run this scenario or give me some numbers to tell me why this idea would not work. I know I might be missing some areas of taxation or government dealings but overall I think most of this plan could & would work.
1. My idea combines the Fair tax & Flat tax concepts. 23/30 Fair tax numbers have some justified arguments. I say let’s start with 16/23. State sales taxes remain between 5-10%. Most other areas of the Fair tax proposal are implemented with the exception of eliminating the IRS & removing the 16th amendment. These are unrealistic goals and complicate an already complicated agenda.
2. 23/30 numbers were created to maintain current government revenues. I make up my gap with a Flat tax. Flat tax individuals who make over $200-250K. No taxes for those who make less than$199,999. Flat tax medium & large businesses. No taxes for companies who make lass than $250M. Rates for individuals 2-4%. Rates for business 3-5%. There is a lot of room for movement with these numbers. I need to know if this would make up the gap!!!
3. I believe my plan would create more $$ for the government. If this is the case there are some mandatory programs the government must undertake. Universal Healthcare, Public school investment, Infrastructure, Quality public housing. Also no less than 25% of any surplus must go to paying the national debt.
4. Illegal aliens have the option to become citizens if they have not committed a crime & pay flat tax 5-10% for a period of time.
5. The IRS will shrink 50% and compliance should only cost 25% of the current cost. Total savings 300M. New focus would be on enforcing consumption tax & flat tax payments.
6. Reduction in consumption tax for car purchases. Particularly for high MPG vehicles. This would launch the auto industry back in business.
7. Housing would be excluded from resale rule. Flat tax on all real estate purchases.
This outline addresses Republican & Democrat agendas and bases. The GOP & far right would love the idea of flat & fair tax, smaller IRS, illegal pay for breaking the law. The Liberals & tree huggers get to tax the “Rich”, Universal Healthcare and other public programs, and promote “green” cars. Oh and the Democrats get the last laugh….they get to sign the bill.
Interesting numbers. I wonder why the government or the media keeps giving us false numbers.
Despite Obama’s statements about the unemployment rate, it is still 25% LOWER than it was in the early 80’s following the disaster of Jimmy Carter. Obama loves to say it is the worse economy since the “Great Depression.” He knows that the press will never call him on this, so he keeps up the fabrications.
yeah, nice….
Great visuals. Thanks for posting.
Well done. U6 is now 15% on its way to 20%.
great idea..
Excellent explanation. Thanks.
haha. 100% unemployed. funni. no not really. :\
thank’s for share this information
Unfortunately, I am compelled to take the same route as many of those who posted before me and bash slightly on one of the more ignorant folks who just had to share their unquestionably thoughtless opinion, Andi (2 Feb post), you’re cool with what’s currently done with your tax money, but if asked to pay more (if you were rich as you claim not to be) you espouse the idea that additional tax requirements should be treated differently? What exactly are you saying? I gather that you just don’t approve of any tax increases, so you believe that the extremely wealthy should instead simply give their extra cash directly to the programs, persons, or charities without any type of government requirement… right. I mean, that’s how they’ve been able to amass such ludicrous fortunes to begin with, by their relentless desire to help those at the other end of our gratuitous economic disparity.
Enough of that, as it is true that unemployment rates do seem to rise and fall with some regularity, by checking out the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, one will find that they are not exactly cyclical. Throughout the 1070’s and 1980’s there were times of high rates comparable to those that we are seeing now. There are also explanations for these rises (i.e. bad investment in a foreign war coupled with unscrupulous negligence from the top down- 70’s; massive tax cuts and deregulation as a top fundamental of, well, let’s just put it simply – Reaganomics- 80’s). Taking cash out of the domestic pot, as was characterized in both of these instances, has always historically led to high rates of unemployment. I believe that the frequently repeated comparison of our current situation to the great depression results from the events that have led us to this point, coupled with a legitimate fear that this downturn will continue. Whereas in the 70’s the decline in stock was actually a subsequent event to heightened unemployment, the situation we face now is consequent to a failing market (a direct result of an intentional lack of oversight by our government institutions that, yes, are necessary no matter how “free” one believes the market should be). The statistics reported by this site are not sensationalized, they are the unfortunate truth we as an irresponsible capitalist society must take notice of. The adjustments made in order to account for the actual rate of unemployment may be the only way that we the people can try and prepare for the possibilities that lie ahead.
This time there will not exist a new deal, and where in the past war stimulated a struggling economy (well, not since WWII, which did more than the new deal to revitalize our still struggling economy), now war just costs more to the taxpayers, while benefiting the select few running the weapons industry. Despite nearly a $trillion pumped into the banking system, and the bailout of multiple firms whose demise surely would have put our economy in a worse place than it is now, we continue to struggle with economic stagnation? That type of cash injection straight into the vein of our banking system should have had some fallout at the labor level, or at least provided some confidence at the loan desk; but people are still being laid off by the hundreds of thousands per month, and if small business wasn’t already on its way to extinction, you can bet it ranks as endangered…only with no guaranteed protection.
So yeah, I suppose that we really shouldn’t make any connections between what we are currently experiencing, and what occurred 80 years ago, back then our nation was a very different place. Most were willing to do what they could to preserve our way of life, including substantial tax increases for the extremely wealthy, rationing, and the development of a federal welfare system known as social security which, unfortunately, became a piggy bank for the federal budget after the Reagan tax cuts. Now our country is run as though it were a multinational corporation, complete with favorable stats such as our unemployment rating system, whatever makes the stockholders happy, or at least ignorant enough to remain complacent. Oh, and to my friend Andi up there, seeing as you feel so adamant regarding rich folks’ cash and exactly where it goes; don’t you think we the taxpayers (those of us who enjoy the luxury of employment that is) should be honored the same right when loads of our money is turned into a welfare fund specifically allocated for many of the institutions who are directly responsible for the severity of this “financial downturn”, When it all comes down to it, these financial institutions took full advantage at every possible turn to exploit people who simply wanted to live the ever-assured American Dream; these faceless brokers, banks, creditors, (the more convoluted, the better the return) without a shred of morality or even basic human compassion. As Bush put it “Wall Street got Drunk”, but their liquor was greed, as for the hangover, it was easily remedied with more of those same people’s tax dollars. SO who cares that the place they partied at was burned to the ground only to be pissed all over by them while they told the bewildered hosts to “deal with it”, subsequently aiming their flow on the last things the unsuspecting marks had left, the clothes they were wearing. If our current crisis turns out anything like the great depression, and the uber-rich are forced into sharing some of their outrageously massive fortunes with the less fortunate, the indicator won’t be soft statistics, it will be far more obvious than that. Statistics are unique in the many ways that they can be manipulated, it’s a bit more difficult to alter the evidently growing masses as you start to notice more and more forage abandoned tract home subdivisions, complete with mostly empty strip malls (nobody wants a jamba juice when even Wal-Mart isn’t hiring). Should it come to this? Will it come to this? Anything is possible, the deciding factor is whether you choose to turn a blind eye, or you choose to stare down the issue until you have the knowledge to consider all of the many possibilities and the courage to take action.
Anthony, I would challenge you to find one informed conservative that likes the idea of flat tax ONLY for >$200,000 income and NO additional tax for less. The tax would be too high for individuals making between $200,000 – $500,000 in order to make up for all of the lost revenue from those making <$200,000.
Same goes for businesses.
The flat tax could never produce enough revenue to make up for the gap. You’d have to get the exact numbers, but in the long run you would just be costing wealthier Americans more.
Didn’t read all the comments so I’m not sure if someone mentioned this, but another important thing to remember about the unemployment rate is that it’s a LAGGING indicator. Meaning it doesn’t provide insight into the immediate future condition of the economy, but the past.
the whole point was to demonstrate the baffling regulations/qualifications you have to meet to be unemployed/underemployed/not unemployed, etc. Also, the rate that the media feeds us is indeed off in comparison to how many people are actually looking for a job and can’t find one.
Rich folks hate poor folks because we remind them of all their sins – greed; hatred; war; nurder; theft; exploitation; slavery…and the list of rich folks sins goes on and on, fuelled by money.
This is from an article in the St. Petersburg Times Newspaper on Sunday.
The Business Section asked readers for ideas on “How Would You Fix the Economy?”
I think this guy nailed it!
Dear Mr. President:
Please find below my suggestion for fixing America ’s economy.
Instead of giving billions of dollars to companies that will squander the money on lavish parties and unearned bonuses, use the Following plan.
You can call it the Patriotic Retirement Plan:
There are about 40 million people over 50 in the work force.
Pay them $1 million apiece severance for early retirement with the following stipulations:
1) They MUST retire. Forty million job openings – Unemployment fixed.
2) They MUST buy a new American CAR. Forty million cars ordered- Auto Industry fixed.
3) They MUST either buy a house or pay off their mortgage – Housing Crisis fixed.
It can’t get any easier than that!
If more money is needed, have all members of Congress pay all their taxes…
If you think this would work, please forward to everyone you know
Brian:
Why should they take that money and buy a car that’s bad quality?
They failed because of quality, prices, and not keeping up to date on what Americans want out of a car.
I kind of like the rest of that idea- yet, what do we do for those who were never taught how to handle money properly and run out?
Skept:
The wealthy in this country are WEALTHY. “But they pay such high taxes!”-(people say). But they don’t really. They find loopholes, ways around it. They also have so much money (and taxpayers help) because of all the protection the gov’t gives them. Look at the banks- they aren’t even afraid of failing because they will either be bought out for billions (by someone) or the gov’t will take our taxes and bail them out. We give the wealthy them so much welfare, it’s sickening.
I feel no sorrow for them, and wish they would spread the wealth out a bit more.
“The most downtrodden person you know experiencing tough times today should thank God every night they’re not going through what our grandfathers and grandmothers went through.”
Like Hoovervilles? They’re called Bushvilles now. Lots of them are in CA.
FDR did something good for the little person. People who are on the side of the major corporation or wealthy individual hate him because he gave us smaller people a lift. Minimum wage? What a horrible idea! Social Security and welfare? I am probably not the only one to say that stuff is amazing and kept people from dying on the streets. I mean, the rich must like it as well, they are the biggest recipients of welfare!
Anyways, the unemployment right now is really bad. Anyone who is looking for a job knows this. If you already have a good job and don’t see being fired in the seeable future, it’s easy to loose touch with reality and see that it’s not that easy or simple for others right now.
The true unemployment rate in CA is 20%
http://politicalrevolt.com/2009/05/true-unemployment-rate-in-ca-is-20/
Extraordinary people doing ordinary things that make extraordinary differences
Just a comment from an outsider,
As for the comment from Allie, shouldn’t the public be driving the market as far as the type of cars that are being bought and sold?
Being an outsider looking in I see the American cars selling very well in my country….there are a lot worse cars as far as quality goes?
Besides that have you bothered to investigate the advancements being made in that sector regarding hybrid and electric cars? And the plans for renovating the industry to cater for the deployment of these’s green cars?
I think the Amercan government is not solely responisble for the direction that market goes…..oil might be driving that? And they are not irresponsilbble either as they are workin on changing it to work for the economy ist a big expensive transition and it takes time….as much as we all want it to happen now technology and infrastucture have to catch up and be implemented…all of the oil company’s are working on hybtid and hydrogen replacments for the future and a lot of that technology comes from the way America thinks, the american dream is driving it to a large extent…
As for the rich, if peeps stopped for a minute to concider the priciples that made the amercan draem such a succsess through good and bad times they would relize that bieng rich is what life is all about, not all rich peeps are bad not by a long shot.
That’s the dream to have stuff and american cars, jobs too come from the edevours of the rich? You take that away you will be worse off! Mabe you should make friends with a succsessful person and you might see the also started from scratch? And they might even teach you something about being positive?
Some of the greatest technology in the word was born in this enviroment that benefits millions around the word on a daily basis. Mabe you should stop thinking about taking money from the people that are doing this good work, this is the Amercan dream that the rest of the world keep’s draming about…is that such a bad thing?
Maybe you should get together with some of your friend and come up with an idea that will make you money?
Buy an american classic fix it up and sell it? Sell it on the internet to a rich oil sheik? Who knows mabe you will make enough money to be thought of as rich? Then you can buy a new american car ….andmaybe keep someone employed…..
Rather excellent idea
all of this information is so good especially what anthony wrote.
:]
This is so amazing!!!me and t-money are working on a prjct in class and this type of information can and WILL definitely help us A LOT!!!!thank you!!!!:3
Pretty cool post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wanted to say
that I have really liked reading your blog posts. Anyway
I’ll be subscribing to your blog and I hope you post again soon!
This is more for the conversation started at the top: For everyone concerned about students being counted as unemployed, here is the official definition of unemployment: % of labor force that is not working. and the unemployment rate is calculated by dividing the number of unemployed by the number of people in the work force.
the work force is concidered:
all u.s. residents
minus anyone under 16
minus institutionalized adults
minus adults not looking for work.
so if there is a college student who is looking for a job and is not able to find one they are technically concidered unemployed.
there are also four types of unemployment that people can fall under, so the college student would not be classified under the same catagory as the guy next door who worked for a plant that downsized and he got layed off.
and after a certain period of time people start to drop off the unemployment list because you can only collect benefits for so long and after that time period you are no longer counted as unemployed.
Nice post! GA is also my biggest earning. However, it’s not a much.
The greater Depression awaits us, and this time no amount of government spending will save us by forcing market upswings. The next dip will be a deep one, and will include the devaluation of the dollar to ass-wipe! China is toying with us, playing games with our economy, and winning a soldier-less, gun-less, fighter plane-less war against us! They have “Acquired” all our key industries, next we will drive Chinese built cars on American streets, sand eat food they send us from Asia – We area a marketplace to the Asian world, and until we have no more ink to print dollars so it will be!