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A Visual Guide to the Financial Crisis

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Almost overnight, the talking heads went from perpetuating the euphoria of investors to rushing to pronounce the economy dead. Last year, when lenders started dropping like flies as foreclosures rose and margins were called, the problems of Wall Street became more and more apparent, and lending guidelines were tightened to the point that many individuals were stuck in their time-bomb loans, and thus began a vicious cycle. But what led to this? Here is a visual guide to help you understand the events leading up to the bailout.

140 Comments so far

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  1. That’s because “investing” is really gambling.

  2. Nice diagrams! The one and only problem is that people do like spending money they haven’t earned yet.

  3. The problem is deregulation and fraud.

    • Hardly…the problem is greedy consumers/home buyers, lax financial oversight. No fraud was committed – everything that happened was 100% legal. If you don’t like it, blame your friends who bought homes they couldn’t afford or maxed out their credit cards just as much as you blame the banks.

  4. What about the fact that the Fed can just print money out of thin air, What about the fact that the fractional reserve system is one big pyramid sceme.

    Its a real shame that Ron Paul Didn’t get in.

  5. Are there more Madoffs in the hedge fund industry? Let us hope not. We should not forget that for a healthy corporate growth and concomitant economic growth, savings and sound investment is the key and hedge funds do provide a pooling mechanism to channelize funds into the financial markets. Whether you call it hedge funds or by some other name – it is there to stay and let the aberration in the form of ‘Madoffs’ be out of our way.

  6. Jordan

    Pretty good diagram. No reference to the community reinvestment act which also was an important part to this crisis.

  7. This is a great diagram. However, an essential element is missing: the origin of the basis of the risk valuation is an underlying view (set of models) of how the economy works (and a set of institutions within the financial sector that uses). Arguably economic modelling profession is as much in crisis as its subject.

  8. Kate fm Fall Rivva

    This diagram was immensely helpful for envisioning the many streams of influence which spawned this quagmire. Thanks very much!
    In addition to the loan initiators’ minimal risk of accountability, another factor I’ve seen mentioned for cavalier mortgage writing is the devastating 2005 changes in individual bankruptcy protection. Presented as a necessary wall vs. duplicitous borrowers, in practice it enacted guaranteed repayment regardless of circumstances, creating further insulation from risk for the far more duplicitous lenders. I read this as hostage-taking, over who-cares-how-many generations, the Emperor’s New debtors prison without walls, seemingly free, but resulting in the inordinate social costs now all too visible.
    I’d like to see this factor for the credit debacle inserted right around “Housing prices never fall,” as a box reading “Once ya get ‘em by the short hairs, ya can keep ‘em down for life.”
    Duping a truly unsophisticated, increasingly uneducated public is a fiscal assault. It’s analogous to the past decade’s rapacious credit card practices, such as universal default, and unholy interest rates enslaving the poorest and least defended folks. Another current partner/analogy here is the outrageous scam perpetrated on those eligible for Medicare Part D, where private insurance literally eats up people too sick, desperate, or uninformed to in any way defend themselves.
    This is the P.T. Barnum approach to social policy. Legal- but absolutely unethical.

  9. Gates VP

    @Venkat: your answer has arrived.

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  11. http://www.mint.com – great domain name for blog like this)))

  12. I could never make my wife understand why we are in this crisis. This diagram is pretty clear of what happened, and she has a lot better understanding of what happened.
    ..which make us more upset and depressed…
    nice job.

  13. Hank the Hammer

    TAKE ONE STEP BACK – WHO ALLOWED THE THE CAP. GAINS TO BE REDUCED OR GO AWAY, EFFECTIVELY ALLOWING ALL THESE INVESTORS TO CREATE THIS MESS? ANYONE EVER HEAR OF A THING CALLED GREED? THE LOVE OF MONEY IS THE ROOT OF ALL KINS OF EVIL. MONEY IS A TOOL, NOT THE ANSWER TO LIFE!

  14. Excellent guide man!

  15. The posters here propagating desperate right wing denial of the origins of the current crisis in neoconservative deregulatory delusion by scapegoating the Community Reinvestment Act and Freddie and Fannie miss several salient facts: Fred and Fan were followers not leaders in the mortgage mania, and the deregulation that caused the problems were instituted by Reps not Dems. Furthermore, most subprime loans are NOT subject to CRA oversight, and those that are perform better than the national average. Helping poor people afford houses was NOT the cause of this crisis.
    This blog does a very nice job of laying it out:
    http://newsone.blackplanet.com/nation/right-wing-media-watch-economic-crisis-and-the-community-reinvestment-act/

  16. izzy, I couldn’t agree more!

    It is de-regulation and the myth of the ‘free-market’ that got us into and continues to widen this crisis.

  17. Carmelo De La Ossa

    This chart is outstanding; very clear and helpful.
    As a student I admit to realizing the facts about the current economical crisis through this chart. Marvelous job.

  18. Isn’t the role of 9/11 important as a background cause. Great job

  19. benjamin graham

    Nice diagram but it’s not enough,In 2006-2007 continuing high levels of capital liquidity rest on flows from securitization and derivatives, and from dollar dominance in international trade. Neither source is immune to a violent adjustment. Why are global bond yields so low, despite the fact that central banks everywhere are increasing interest rates? The new sources of liquidity outside traditional monetary aggregates have absorbed much of the impact of rising short-term interest rates: namely securitized debt and the huge derivatives market. Once capital became more costly, the new liquidity contracted much more sharply than monetary aggregates have done in the past. So the resultant impact on asset prices was severe and the deflationary pressure enough to pitch the global economy into a recession. Look at http://proforextraders.blogspot.com
    I learned so much from their manual.

  20. Michael Boros

    Looking back in the early 2000’s the largest worry on most Americans is the war in Afghanistan and Iraq. The cost of war had people worrying about tax hikes and gas prices. Did anyone see this landslide economy disaster coming and how could an economic crisis so significant just appear?
    In retrospect I would say the first instigator of pending disasters started with the deregulation of the public utilities. The fake rolling blackouts of California turned out to be a price-manipulating tactic. Why should the public have to trust a private profit driven business model for modern necessities?
    Did everyone notice that in the early two thousands it seemed that mortgage brokers were instantly everywhere. Even your buddies were doing it, bugging you, “make sure your refi with me old buddy”. I remember thinking. “what the hell”, why, what am I missing. Well, seems that the fees charged to close a mortgage could go from 5k to 50k to do a whole lot of nothing. Nice. The word “stated income”, seemed to be the easiest way to get the deal closed for sure. “Stated Income”, intended statistically for a little higher interest rate acting as profit insurance on the statistical default rate as well as the house value to ensure a solid banking investment. Did people lie about their income to get the loans. All the time. So why didn’t anyone care. Well, weren’t brokers getting paid 5 to 50k for nothing, with a seeming sound banking model backing them up. Oh yah. Actually, most of the times the brokers did all the paper work, filled in all the numbers with next to no input short of names and SS numbers to get the deals closed fast and many. The public is the product, “bring them in buy the truckload, its time to make some serious cash”. This run away business model became the mechanism for high volume loan closing and high profits to brokers and bankers. Don’t forget these broker fees get worked into the loan. So a good part of the fees paid out to the brokers are still owed through the loans and a lot of the public are to this day still in debt to these fees.
    But everything seemed to be going so well. It wasn’t that bad. The model was working. Working families in the US seemed to have achieved a delicate balance with their budgets with their income vs. there debts. Most families were making it. Close but were pulling it off month to month.
    Here comes the landslide. In 2008 the gas prices decides to pretty much double. A few months of this converts higher prices in pretty much all commerce due to the transporting and manufacturing costs. The delicate budgets of millions a families are disrupted. Month after month families attempt to balance out there finances, but to find themselves unsuccessful. For a moment, view the total money circulating in the U.S. economic infrastructure as a full cup of water. When one entity such as an oil company achieves record billions in profits. In other words billions of dollars are removed from circulation and is sitting in a companies account. Sort of like taking a 3/8 cup of the water instead of the 1/8 cup the company usually got. Consequently leaving the rest of the country to pay expenses short ¼ of the money that was usually economically available. If the money is gone, its gone. Simply cant be used if its not there. Simply speaking, the money has been removed from the economy in the form of record fuel company profits.

    Did anyone notice that when you start running out of money, our good old bank friends seem to want to take even more cash than ever? A few checks get returned. Lots of $35 charges. Usually $350 per cycle of 10 checks max the law allows to charge per day. Interest rates seem to really jump missing a payment. What about those 2-year arm adjustable rates, mortgages going from $2800 per month to $4300 per month over a month period. This is the same for businesses. When sales get low, expect tons of over draft charges. It seems way better to run your store with cash daily. Forget writing checks. You’re just being a sucker to the bank system. Even the electronic bill pay system puts a day delay on removing the funds they send out with the hopes of creating an over draft situation. Just clear the checks paid as the store sales and withdraw the cash and operate with cash. Save thousands in fees. Pretty much all bills that are late get ridiculous fees attached, from taxes to utilities to credit debt.
    What is the public to do. We carry the huge burden of ridiculous fees when money gets low. The economic landslide is inevitable in these conditions.

    Problems summery:

    Unstable utility costs
    Unstable fuel costs
    Current banking, finance and insurance systems

    Ronald Reagan really had it wrong when he said, “government regulation is the problem not the solution”.

    A private company should not have the ability to paralyze the U.S. economy single handedly.

    It is essential to have all critical economic infrastructures government regulated, primarily, Banking, Insurance, Utilities and Fuel Systems.

    I would also recommend getting the economy somewhat a little less stressed and back on tract if it were passed by congress to have one or two months revolving credit debit and mortgage payments deferred if requested by the borrower. It would allow families to catch up with some other bills and get a little more cash injected into the country instead of the bank systems.

    These business systems have the potential for corruption, greed for record profits at the health of the countries expense. We cannot depend on groups of businessmen to act honest and ethical nor should the pubic have to. It needs to be insured by written laws and sustainable by government systems.

    • Linda De Meo

      This makes a tremendous amount of sense to me. I could never understand why when I used my credit/debit card (actually a debit card, but called a credit card so I can earn flight milage) there always appeared a “pending” notation for the purchase reflected in my checking accnt. from which the card is attached. Now I know.

      How the banks and credit card companies charge these outrageous fees may be legal, but certainly unethical, and they should be regulated. If I were acting as conservator for someone, I would have oversight by the courts. And if I acted as carelessly, unscrupulously and stupidly as the banks, I would be removed from that position. Instead the government has given the banks more taxpayer money with very little stipulations, demands and oversight. The question I ask is: who is more stupid?

  21. Sadly, I think I finally get it….

  22. The key thing missing:

    THIS WAS ALL PRECEDED BY DE-REGULATION AND GLOBALIZATION.

  23. Graham Green's Father

    WHICH WAS ALL PRECEDED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE

  24. That is great. I love all the quotes like “Its impossible for prices to go down this year”

  25. The reality of it is really upsetting. The visual chart is correct, PROFESSIONALISM! That is where it all went wrong. GREED! AND STUPIDITY! Everyone all engulfed in the down and dirty, knock-down-tough-it-out brawl for nothing. NOTHING! I warned them!

  26. The only thing missing is

    #1 – DEREGULATION, and the Financial Services Modernization act – it all stems from there.

  27. Dawood

    Nice article! If you’d like to know when experts anticipate the end of financial crisis check this link below:

    http://www.myhowtoos.com/en/red-hot/50-how-long-financial-crisis-will-last

  28. What a mess, when you see it laid out visually you really get a sense of how convoluted the system is.

  29. This is a great diagram. So many Americans are completely in the dark about the housing crisis and our need to bail out homeowners. You want to know why homeowners should be bailed out instead of all of those who lost money in the stock market? Because homeowners were LIED to about the value of their property, all given false appraisals, most put into fraudulent loans and now are having to pay the price by facing potential homelessness while all of the executives that made BILLIIONS frauding them are buying their foreclosued property all over this country. It’s ridiculous that no one is saying a word! http://www.consumeradgroup.com visit my website. Email me. or call me. Kristy Sinsara

  30. Great site, how do I subscribe?

    • Lee Sherman

      Please use the RSS or email link at the top of the screen (under the banner ad) to subscribe to MintLife. Thanks!

  31. why not blame our x president bush? was this war really necessary?

  32. It is clear from the responses to my original post that many people share this confidence, probably because we have all read similar popular science books about artificial intelligence, large networks, and so on. ,

  33. Great use of graphics, love them! Great post btw.

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